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Politicalbetting.com
The premier political betting site on the Inernet.
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Politicalbetting.com

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Politicalbetting.com is one of Britain's most popular[citation needed] political blogs. Run by Mike Smithson, a former BBC journalist, Liberal Democrat councillor and general election candidate, the site began in March 2004.

Unlike most other British political blogs, politicalbetting is non-partisan, although Smithson himself is a Liberal Democrat. As the site's name suggests, the focus is on political betting opportunities, but the focus is rather broader, in the sense that political issues of the day have an impact on the various betting markets. The site has a particular focus on opinion polls, and in general is more concerned with the technical aspects of politics than most other blogs.

The site has attracted a large number of commenters, with up to three posts a day (mostly written by Smithson) typically seeing several hundred commenters, many of whom have no interest or knowledge of political betting but follow the site for its coverage of the fortunes and likely electoral success of political parties in Britain. On an average day the volume of comments exceeds 30,000 words[citation needed]. Commenters include MPs Nick Palmer, John Hemming and Stewart Jackson. The site sticks almost entirely to British and American politics, with an occasional mention of Australian elections, and major elections in other European countries.

The success of the site has led Smithson to publish a book, The Political Punter, a guide to betting on politics.

[edit] External links

  • Politicalbetting.com
 
Categories: Political weblogs | British political websites
 
 
 
American football

Major: National Football League
Semi-pro: Central Football League • Empire Football League • Federacion Mexicana de Futbol Americano • Mid Continental Football League • Mid Ohio Football League • Minor League Football Alliance • Minor League Football Association • New England Football League • North American Football League • Northeastern Football Alliance • Southern States Football League • Texas/Louisiana Southern Football Association • United States Football Alliance
Women's: Women's Professional Football League • National Women's Football Association • Independent Women's Football League • Women's Football League • Women's Football Alliance
Defunct major: All-America Football Conference • American Football League (1926) • American Football League (1936-1937) • American Football League (1940-1941) • American Football League (1960-1969) • United States Football League • World Football League • XFL
Defunct minor/semi-pro: American Association (1936-1941)/American Football League (1946-1950) • American Football League (1934) • American Football League (1938-1939) • American Football League (1944) • Atlantic Coast Football League • Continental Football League • Dixie League • Eastern Pennsylvania Football League • Midwest Football League • Pacific Coast Professional Football League • Hawaii Football League • NFL Europa • Regional Football League • Spring Football League • United Football League • Virginia-Carolina Football League
Folded or merged before any games were played: Asia Pacific Football League • Professional Spring Football League
Planned: All American Football League (Spring 2009) • United Football League (Fall 2009) • United National Gridiron League (Spring 2009) • United States Football League (Spring 2010)

Canadian football

Major: Canadian Football League
Minor/Semi-pro: Alberta Football League • Maritime Football League • Canadian Junior Football League • Quebec Junior Football League • Quebec Bantam Football League
Defunct: Quebec Juvenile Football League • Quebec Senior Football League

Arena/indoor football

Major: Arena Football League
Minor: af2 • American Indoor Football Association • American Professional Football League • Continental Indoor Football League • Indoor Football League • Southern Indoor Football League
Semi-pro: Independent Indoor Football Alliance
Defunct: Eastern Indoor Football League • Indoor Football League (1999-2000) • Indoor Professional Football League • Intense Football League • National Indoor Football League • Professional Indoor Football League • United Indoor Football • World Indoor Football League
Folded or merged before any games were played: North American Indoor Football League (2005) • North American Indoor Football League (2007) • World Indoor Football League • Xtreme Football League

Source: Wikipedia

 

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politicalbetting.com
The web's premier resource for political betting.
1. Europe’s “Super Sunday” Election Special
Wikimedia Commons Leaked exits via Belgium/Switzerland say Hollande 52.5-53 Greece: will ND + PASOK give a majority for the bailout? Welcome to what’s a bumper night for European elections and a very important one for the continent’s politics. In France, first polling stations don’t close until 5pm UK time and the last ones at 7pm, [...]
2. How serious are Nadine’s threats against Dave?
Could the PM be ousted by his own MPs? It is almost part of the political calendar – talk of threats to party leaders on the first Sunday after each year’s May local elections. Generally the reports are pinned on unnamed “senior figures” ready to brief but not go on the record with their concerns [...]
3. When is Boris going to return to Westminster?
When do you think Boris will return to Westminster? At a by-election before the next general election At the next general election After his mayoral term finishes in May 2016 He won’t return to the Commons      @MikeSmithsonOGH
4. Will Cameron go the way of Heath?
Wikimeda Commons Is the country not yet ready for a 21st century Selsdon Man? The battering the government took in this week’s local elections shouldn’t have come as too much of a surprise. The line being defended – those seats last fought in 2008 – was set at the very depths of Labour’s unpopularity in [...]
5. Boris wins – YouGov wins – London divided
BBC news After an extraordinarily long wait which must throw into question the use of counting machine at elections, Boris Johnson has been returned for a second term as Mayor of London. The battle was much tighter than any of the polls had indicated with the final result being: Name Party 1st Pref % 2nd [...]
6. Even on Ed’s big day the Beeb calls him David…
Meanwhile we await a result from City Hall
7. Is Alex Salmond one of the day’s big losers?
Why did the SNP make Glasgow their key target? In our PB prediction poll a couple of weeks ago a reasonable majority of participants said that the SNP would win control of the city of Glasgow. That was understandable given the hype that was coming from north of the border. For weeks this has been [...]
8. The election counts continue…
Boris looks secure in London
9. CON still odds-on favourite for the general election – Betfair
Betfair At what stage will the market switch? After being totally hammered in the local elections you would expect that punters would take a fresh look at the chances of the Tories winning most seats at the next general election. The panel above gives the prices at 0824 this morning with a price of 1.88 [...]
10. It’s Labour’s and UKIP’s night
Projected national share of vote in UK #localelections: Lab 39%, Con 31%, Lib Dem 16%, Others 14% bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politi… #bbcvote2012 — BBC Breaking News (@BBCBreaking) May 4, 2012 650 key wards:PNS – Con 31. Lab 39. LD 16. Oth 14Change on 2008: Con -9%, Lab +17%, LD -8%Change on 2011: Con -4%, Lab +3%, LD n/c [...]
11. The councils to look out for overnight…
A time-line based on what results we’ll see first Thanks to the Tory election analyst, Rob Hayward for this: CON-LD seats. Shire districts (not in terms of change of control but are the Tories gaining seats or not where they did last year) St Albans, Southend, Milton Keynes Later (but intermingled with CON-LD areas) will [...]
12. Now Opinium makes it 5 pollsters out of 5 for Boris
But which one will be most accurate? There another London mayoral poll out, an online survey from Opinium - the online firm which never seems to want to communicate with me. (Hi guys could you put me on your email list?). It has Boris 43%/Ken 37%/Paddick 7%/Jones 6%/Benita 3%/ UKIP 3%. Opinium’s figures for the [...]
13. Will YouGov make it a hat-trick of London successes? UPDATED
Boris 43/Ken 38/Paddick 7/Benita 4/UKIP 4/Jones 3 After the second prefs have been allocated YouGov has Boris beating Ken by 53 to 47%. A big question is whether YouGov will continue its stunning success with this particular election. In both 2004 and 2008 its final poll got the outcome correct to within 1%. The poll [...]
14. Is a Boris victory worse for the Cameroons than a defeat?
“..If he wins tomorrow, he will be the most popular Tory in the country, the saviour of the Cameroons but not one of them, and better placed than ever for an eventual run at the top job. They will hate their debt to him almost as much as the prospect that he may one day [...]
15. Tony Travers predicts Tory losses of 500-600
LSE expert Tony Travers revises predictions for tomorrow: CON losses 500-600 not 250-350/LD 100-200 not 250-350/LAB gains 700-800 — Mike Smithson (@MikeSmithsonOGH) May 2, 2012 LSE expert Tony Travers tells Times that Lib Dems won’t do so badly ‘cos Tories in “such trouble” — Mike Smithson (@MikeSmithsonOGH) May 2, 2012 @AllanHeron I think Travers just [...]
16. Will tomorrow see the return of the anti-Tory tactical voter?
Or will the 2011 dynamics be repeated? Last year’s local elections, the first to be held since the formation of the coalition, transformed the political landscape. The table above, prepared by Professor Colin Rallings for last month’s Political Studies Association briefing, sets out what happened in six different categories of council seats. The big picture [...]
17. Can we just ignore YouGov’s London mayor record?
table.tableizer-table {border: 6px solid #CCC; font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 16px;} .tableizer-table td {padding: 4px; margin: 3px; border: 1px solid #ccc;} .tableizer-table th {background-color: #104E8B; color: #FFF; font-weight: bold;} 2008 Mayoral Polls Date BORIS CON % KEN LAB % PADDICK % Actual Result 01/05/08 42 36 10 You Gov 01/05/08 43 36 13 You Gov [...]
18. How will Tory MPs vote on the hacking committee report?
Les Hinton, Tom Crone and Colin Myler all misled Parliament, DCMS Ctte rule. — Paul Waugh (@paulwaugh) May 1, 2012 Most explosive finding of MPs re hacking: Rupert Murdoch not a “fit person” to run a major international company. — Paul Waugh (@paulwaugh) May 1, 2012 Real political divisions coming out. Tory MP Philip Davies [...]
19. Good morning from Marf….
If you would like to purchase one of Marf’s prints, please contact her at marfcartoons@btinternet.com
20. The first Mayoral phone poll give Boris a 12 percent lead
Populus : BJ 46, KL 34, JJ 6, BP 5, SB 5, LW 3, CC 1; 2nd round BJ 56 KL 44 — Mike Smithson (@MikeSmithsonOGH) April 30, 2012 Lib Dem gen elec voters split their votes evenly, 49 per cent for Mr Johnson, 51 per cent for Mr Livingstone across both rounds — Sam [...]
21. Has Cameron done enough to deal with Hunt-BSkyB
Cameron going the extra mile for Jeremy Hunt, loading ever more on #Leveson buys time, but may not pay off in the long run. — adamboulton (@adamboultonSKY) April 30, 2012 Cam line of giving everyone a chance, “It’s called natural justice”, was exactly same line he used during Fox hunt. — Paul Waugh (@paulwaugh) April [...]
22. Ken still in with a shout with YouGov
Could he just squeeze in? The latest YouGov London poll for the Evening Standard is just out and has Boris only 3% ahead on first preferences. That margin is what the US media would call a “statistical dead heat”. Clearly, if YouGov have got this right, this battle is far closer than the other pollsters [...]
23. Survation-Mirror locals poll points to huge LAB gains on Thursday
Could the reds win more than the initial 700 seat projection? There’s a new Survation poll out in the Daily Mirror which has both Westminster and local election voting intention for this Thursday. The national numbers are CON 30% nc/LAB 37%+2/LD 13%+2/UKIP 9%-1 with comparisons on the firm’s poll a fortnight ago for the Mail [...]
24. Marf on the limitations in the power of Rupert
If you would like to purchase one of Marf’s prints, please contact her at marfcartoons@btinternet.com From tomorrow’s papers Guardian: Bin Laden’s links to Taliban revealed – also P&O cruise staff ‘paid 75p an hour’ #tomorrowspaperstoday twitter.com/hendopolis/sta… — Neil Henderson (@hendopolis) April 29, 2012 Express front: Flood chaos to sat all week #tomorrowspaperstoday twitter.com/hendopolis/sta… — Neil [...]
25. Betfair punters make Boris an 82.6 percent shot
Betfair Politics Don’t ignore YouGov’s great record in Mayoral elections With the last two Mayoral polls showing first preference leads of 9% and 11.2% for Boris it’s hardly surprising that on this final weekend the money has been going on the incumbent. I’m being a tad more cautious. YouGov’s final polls in both 2004 and [...]
26. Dave’s dramatic ratings collapse matched only by Gordon
Is this not just a setback but a long-term nightmare? The weekly YouGov leadership ratings for David Cameron are out and add further to trend we’ve seen since the budget. He’s gone from a neutral 46% Well 47% Badly at the end of January to 32% Well 63% Badly this morning. Writing in the Sunday [...]
27. The Marf take for the overnight thread
What are the Sunday going to report? This is the Observer front page. The Indy on Sunday look pretty bad for Hunt. See here – “Hunt on the brink as he is accused of misleading Parliament” The Mail on Sunday steers clear of Hunt on its front page. The Telegraph. @MikeSmithsonOGH
28. Will Number 10′s delaying tactics work with Hunt?
Ladbrokes now make Jeremy Hunt the 4/5 odds on favourite to be next cabinet exit. bit.ly/c5gpH6 — Mike Smithson (@MikeSmithsonOGH) April 28, 2012 Could there be surprises in the Sunday papers? So far, at least, the Cameron tactic of say they must wait for Leveson. not expected for some weeks, has managed to hold in [...]
29. Is Greece about to blow the Eurocrisis open again?
What will the elections do to the bailout settlement? It’s unsurprising that with the Republican primaries, the French presidential election, the London mayorality and local elections in Britain all taking place within April or early May, there’s not been much coverage given to another legislative election taking place next week. Perhaps we should. Elections in [...]
30. Does Boris hanker after Dave’s job?
What’ll a victory next week do to his leadership ambitions? If both the national and London polls are reflected in next week’s London and national elections then Boris Johnson will be one of the few prominent Tories with something to smile about a week today. On a night that’s likely to see huge Tory losses, [...]
31. Which pollster will win the 2012 London Mayoral polling race?
Is Ken’s deficit -2% or -11.2%? table.tableizer-table {border: 6px solid #CCC; font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 20px;} .tableizer-table td {padding: 4px; margin: 3px; border: 1px solid #ccc;} .tableizer-table th {background-color: #104E8B; color: #FFF; font-weight: bold;} Pollster Ken deficit on first preferences YouGov online -2% ComRes online -9% Survation online -11.2% Make no mistake real elections [...]
32. PB NightHawks – looking ahead three weeks
Have you any suggestions for PB online polls? On May 20th Jacky and I are heading to Barcelona, Cadiz and Ronda for two and a half weeks. Unlike my previous holidays there will be not be the same level of posting on PB. We will put up open threads and a number of pre-prepared guest [...]
33. Be careful about second preferences
Their impact will be far less than might appear The two pollsters who are carrying out regular London Mayorals surveys, and ComRes and YouGov are both issuing two sets of numbers when they publish their results. These are the first preferences of those interviewed and then their estimation of what the final split between the [...]
34. Ken drops 5pc in new ComRes Mayor poll
Should you be taking the 12/1 bet on Jones for 3rd There’s a new London Mayoral poll just out from Comres which is showing a very different picture from that reported on Monday by YouGov. The first preference figures are with changes on the firm’s last Mayoral poll published on April 10th – Boris 45%-1/Ken [...]
35. Was the Sun’s endorsement really so helpful to Dave?
How come that afterwards there was such a big poll decline? So much has been talked about this week of the political power of the Murdoch empire that I thought I’d that it might be useful to reflect on the period before the last election. Look at the table of pre-election ICM polls above. By [...]

 
 

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Sports Betting at BetUS.com
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